☀️SolarLedger
SolarLedger/Heat Pumps & Solar Electrification
🔥 THERMODYNAMICS, COP PHYSICS & SOLAR BATTERY SIZING

Heat Pump & Solar Electrification Engineering Vault

Converting from natural gas, propane, or fuel oil to a heat pump is the single largest electrical load change your home will ever experience—adding 3,500 to 8,500 kWh/year and shifting peak consumption to freezing winter nights when Coefficient of Performance (COP) drops from 3.9 down to 1.75. Explore our 14 thermodynamic playbooks to size your solar array, lock out battery-draining resistance strips, and stack up to $14,000+ in IRA 25C, 25D & HEEHRA rebates.

Electrification Guides
14 Playbooks
HVAC, HPWH, Geothermal & Dryers
Winter COP Physics
4.2 → 1.75 COP
47°F down to -15°F Polar Vortex
Added Solar PV Sizing
+0.8 to +7.5 kW
By Climate Zone & Equipment
Rebate + Tax Stack
$8k + $2k/yr + 30%
HEEHRA + § 25C + § 25D ITC

Master Heat Pump + Solar & Battery Engineering Comparison Matrix

Playbook / SystemEfficiency / COP RangeStartup Surge (LRA)Running WattsAdded Solar PVTax Credits & RebatesGuide
Cold-Climate Heat Pump Solar Sizing Guide: Winter COP Physics Down to -15°F
NEEP Cold-Climate Variable-Speed Air-Source Heat Pumps (3-Ton to 5-Ton)
Master Winter Thermodynamics Guide
18–24 SEER2 / 10.0–12.5 HSPF2
COP 3.9 (at 47°F) → COP 1.75 (at -15°F)
8A – 16A (VFD Inverter Ramp)1,100W – 5,400W Continuous+4.5 kW to +7.5 kW DCUp to $2,000 (25C) + $8,000 (HEEHRA) + 30% Solar ITCOpen Playbook →
Mitsubishi Hyper-Heating (H2i / H2i plus) + Solar Battery Backup Engineering Review
Mitsubishi M-Series, P-Series & Zuba Central H2i / H2i plus (-13°F to -22°F)
Undisputed #1 Heat Pump for Off-Grid & Battery Backup
Up to 30.5 SEER2 / 13.2 HSPF2
COP 4.2 (at 47°F) → COP 2.0 (at 5°F) → 100% Capacity at -5°F
6A – 11A (INVERTER-driven Twin Rotary)380W (Turndown) – 3,900W (Max Boost)+3.5 kW to +6.0 kW DC$2,000 Federal 25C + State Utility Rebates ($1,500–$10,000)Open Playbook →
Rheem ProTerra Heat Pump Water Heater as a 'Thermal Solar Battery' (NEM 3.0 Playbook)
Rheem ProTerra 50 / 65 / 80 Gal Hybrid (UEF 4.07) & Plug-In 120V Models
Highest ROI Solar Thermal Battery Under $1,000 Net Cost
4.07 UEF (Uniform Energy Factor) · COP 4.2
COP 4.0 – 4.3 in Heat Pump Mode
4.5A (Compressor Only)380W – 500W (Heat Pump Mode) vs. 4,500W (Resistance Element)+0.8 kW DC (Just 2 Solar Panels!)30% Federal 25C (Up to $2,000) + $700–$1,750 Utility RebatesOpen Playbook →
Stacking IRA Section 25C ($2,000/yr) & HEEHRA ($8,000) Heat Pump Rebates with 30% Solar ITC
IRC Section 25C, IRC Section 25D (Solar/Battery/Geothermal) & State HEEHRA / HOMES Rebates
2026 Federal & State Tax Stacking Blueprint
CEE Highest Efficiency Tier (≥15.2–16.0 SEER2 / ≥7.8–8.5 HSPF2)
COP ≥ 1.75 at 5°F (North Cold-Climate Requirement)
N/A (Tax & Rebate Compliance Matrix)Saves $1,400 – $3,200/yr in Combined Utility & Fuel Bills100% Uncapped 30% Credit on Solar & Battery (Section 25D)$8,000 HEEHRA + $2,000/yr Section 25C + 30% Section 25DOpen Playbook →
Gas Furnace to Heat Pump Conversion on a 100A or 200A Panel: NEC 220.82 Load Math
NEC 220.82 Optional Dwelling Load Calculation for Heat Pump + Solar Conversions
Pass Inspection on a 100A Panel Without Upgrading
100A / 125A / 200A Residential Service Entrance Panels
Eliminates 100% Heating + 100% Cooling Double-Counting
25A – 40A MCA (Minimum Circuit Ampacity)3,200W – 5,500W Nameplate Compressor+4.0 kW to +6.5 kW DC$600 Federal 25C Panel Credit + $4,000 HEEHRA Panel RebateOpen Playbook →
Bosch IDS 2.0 (BOVA20) Inverter Heat Pump + Solar & Battery Pairing Review
Bosch Inverter Ducted Split (IDS Premium BOVA20 / IDS Ultra Cold-Climate)
Best Non-Communicating Drop-In Inverter Heat Pump
Up to 20.5 SEER2 / 10.5 HSPF2
COP 3.9 (at 47°F) → COP 2.1 (at 17°F)
9A – 15A (36-Step Variable Capacity Inverter)750W (25% Modulation) – 4,100W (110% Boost)+4.0 kW to +5.5 kW DC$2,000 Federal 25C + Utility RebatesOpen Playbook →
Daikin Fit & SkyAir Side-Discharge Inverter Heat Pumps: Low-LRA Solar Optimization
Daikin Fit (DZ6VSA / DZ17VSA) & Daikin SkyAir / Aurora Inverter Series
Best Compact Side-Discharge Inverter for Zero-Lot-Line Homes
17.5–19.0 SEER2 / 8.8–10.0 HSPF2
COP 3.85 (at 47°F) → COP 2.15 (at 17°F)
7A – 12A (Patented Daikin Swing Compressor)650W – 3,850W+3.8 kW to +5.5 kW DC$2,000 Federal 25C + Daikin / Utility RebatesOpen Playbook →
Geothermal Ground-Source Heat Pumps + Solar: The Uncapped 30% Section 25D Tax Loophole
WaterFurnace 7 Series (Variable Speed), ClimateMaster Trilogy & Dandelion Geothermal
COP 5.3 Efficiency + Uncapped 30% Solar Tax Credit
Up to 41 EER2 (Part Load) / 5.3 COP Heating
Constant COP 4.5 – 5.3 Year-Round (52°F Earth Loop)
6A – 12A (Variable Speed Drive + ECM Loop Pumps)600W – 2,900W (Even at -25°F Outdoor Air!)+2.5 kW to +4.0 kW DC (50% Less Solar Needed in Winter!)30% UNCAPPED Federal Tax Credit (IRC § 25D) + State Rebates ($5,000–$15,000)Open Playbook →
Ductless Mini-Split Zoning vs. Central Ducted Heat Pumps: Solar & Battery Efficiency Math
27–33 SEER2 Ductless Single-Zone Heads vs. 18 SEER2 Central Ducted Air Handlers
Eliminates 25% Attic Ductwork Thermal Loss
27–33.1 SEER2 (Ductless) vs. 16–20 SEER2 (Central Ducted)
COP 4.4–4.8 (Ductless) vs. COP 3.4–3.9 (Ducted)
3A – 8A per Single-Zone Outdoor Inverter180W – 950W (Single-Zone Bedroom/Office Head)Saves 1.8 kW – 3.0 kW DC of Solar Array Size$2,000 Federal 25C (Can stage across 2 tax years for $4,000!)Open Playbook →
Carrier Infinity 24 / 26 Greenspeed Intelligence Heat Pump + Solar Battery Review
Carrier Infinity 24 (25VNA4) & Infinity 26 Greenspeed Variable-Speed Heat Pumps
Best American Central Ducted Cold-Climate Flagship
Up to 24.0 SEER2 / 10.5 HSPF2
COP 4.1 (at 47°F) → COP 2.05 (at 5°F)
8A – 14A (Greenspeed VFD Inverter)620W – 4,200W+4.2 kW to +6.0 kW DC$2,000 Federal 25C + Utility RebatesOpen Playbook →
Air-to-Water Hydronic Heat Pumps + Radiant Floor Concrete Slab Solar Thermal Storage
SpacePak Solstice, Chiltrix CX34/CX50, Viessmann Vitocal & Arctic Monobloc Air-to-Water
Turn Your Radiant Concrete Slab Into an 80 kWh Solar Battery
COP 4.1–4.8 at 95°F Supply Water Temperature
COP 4.5 (at 47°F Air / 95°F Water) → COP 2.3 (at 5°F Air / 110°F Water)
6A – 12A (EVI DC Inverter Monobloc)800W – 3,600W+3.5 kW to +5.5 kW DC$2,000 Federal 25C + Hydronic Electrification RebatesOpen Playbook →
Dual-Fuel (Hybrid) Heat Pump + Gas/Propane Furnace: Economic Balance Point Solar Math
Dual-Fuel Inverter Heat Pump Coil + 96% AFUE Natural Gas or Propane Furnace
Ultimate Winter Blackout Resilience & Solar Sizing Hack
18–20 SEER2 / 9.5 HSPF2 + 96% AFUE Gas Backup
Uses Solar Heat Pump Above 25°F–35°F · Switches to Gas Below Balance Point
8A – 15A (Heat Pump) / 5A @ 120V (Gas Furnace Mode)2,200W (Heat Pump) vs. 420W (Gas Furnace Blower Only!)+2.5 kW to +3.5 kW DC (Avoids Oversizing for January Peaks!)$2,000 Federal 25C (Heat Pump) + $600 Federal 25C (97% AFUE Furnace)Open Playbook →
120V Heat Pump Clothes Dryers (Miele / LG / GE Profile): Free Up a 30A 240V Solar Breaker
LG WashTower / Dual-Inverter Heat Pump Dryer, GE Profile UltraFast Combo & Miele T1
Secret Weapon to Free Up 240V Panel Space for Solar/EV
CEF 9.0–10.5 (Combined Energy Factor) · Energy Star Most Efficient
Closed-Loop Heat Pump Dehumidification (60% Less Energy)
6A @ 120V (Zero 240V Heating Element Surge)350W – 850W on a Standard 120V 15A Outlet!Saves 1.5 kW of Solar + Frees Up a 2-Pole 30A 240V Breaker Space!Up to $840 State HEEHRA Rebate + Utility Instant RebatesOpen Playbook →
Heat Pump Pool Heaters + Solar PV: Daytime Thermal Battery Automation Under NEM 3.0
Pentair UltraTemp ETi / Hayward HeatPro / GulfStream 110k–140k BTU Titanium Heat Pumps
Saves $2,500+/Yr Over 400,000 BTU Gas Pool Heaters
COP 5.5 – 6.4 (AHRI 1160 Certified at 80°F Air)
COP 5.8 (80°F Daytime Sun) vs. COP 3.6 (50°F Night Air)
18A – 28A (Inverter Pool HP or Micro-Air Soft Start)4,200W – 5,800W Continuous+4.5 kW to +6.5 kW DCOffset via 30% Solar ITC on Added PV PanelsOpen Playbook →
Cold-Climate Sizing & Physics+4.5 kW to +7.5 kW DC

Cold-Climate Heat Pump Solar Sizing Guide: Winter COP Physics Down to -15°F

Replacing an 80,000 BTU gas or oil furnace with a cold-climate heat pump adds 4,500 to 8,500 kWh of annual electricity demand—concentrated in December, January, and February when solar irradiance is lowest and Heat Pump Coefficient of Performance (COP) drops from 3.8 down to 1.8. Here is the exact winter thermodynamic math to size your solar array.

Running Power Draw:1,100W – 5,400W Continuous
Installed Cost Range:$11,500 – $19,500 (Heat Pump)
Battery Spec: 14.3 kWh – 28.6 kWh LFPThermal & Solar Math →
Hardware Teardown & Battery Pairing+3.5 kW to +6.0 kW DC

Mitsubishi Hyper-Heating (H2i / H2i plus) + Solar Battery Backup Engineering Review

Why do off-grid solar engineers and battery backup designers overwhelmingly specify Mitsubishi Hyper-Heating (H2i / H2i plus)? Because its Flash Injection twin-rotary compressor exhibits virtually ZERO Locked Rotor Amp (LRA) startup surge and modulates down to 380 watts—allowing a single 13.5kWh battery to heat a home through a freezing night.

Running Power Draw:380W (Turndown) – 3,900W (Max Boost)
Installed Cost Range:$9,500 – $22,000 (Multi-Zone / Ducted)
Battery Spec: 13.5 kWh – 28.6 kWhThermal & Solar Math →
Thermal Storage & Solar Dump+0.8 kW DC (Just 2 Solar Panels!)

Rheem ProTerra Heat Pump Water Heater as a 'Thermal Solar Battery' (NEM 3.0 Playbook)

Why export midday solar to PG&E or SCE for 3¢/kWh when you can super-heat an 80-gallon Rheem ProTerra Heat Pump Water Heater to 140°F between 11:00 AM and 3:00 PM using just 400 watts of electricity—and coast through the 4:00 PM–9:00 PM peak window using zero battery or grid power?

Running Power Draw:380W – 500W (Heat Pump Mode) vs. 4,500W (Resistance Element)
Installed Cost Range:$2,200 – $3,800
Battery Spec: Uses 0.9–1.4 kWh/day in Heat Pump Only ModeThermal & Solar Math →
Tax Credits, Rebates & NEC Math100% Uncapped 30% Credit on Solar & Battery (Section 25D)

Stacking IRA Section 25C ($2,000/yr) & HEEHRA ($8,000) Heat Pump Rebates with 30% Solar ITC

Homeowners electrifying their HVAC, water heater, electrical panel, and rooftop solar can legally combine the uncapped 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D) with the annual-resetting $3,200 Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit (Section 25C) and up to $14,000 in state HEEHRA point-of-sale rebates—if they follow the IRS cost-basis subtraction rules.

Running Power Draw:Saves $1,400 – $3,200/yr in Combined Utility & Fuel Bills
Installed Cost Range:Stackable up to $14,000+ in Rebates + Uncapped 30% Solar ITC
Battery Spec: ≥3 kWh Minimum for Standalone 30% Battery CreditThermal & Solar Math →
Tax Credits, Rebates & NEC Math+4.0 kW to +6.5 kW DC

Gas Furnace to Heat Pump Conversion on a 100A or 200A Panel: NEC 220.82 Load Math

HVAC contractors frequently tell homeowners they must pay $4,500+ to upgrade a 100A or 150A panel before replacing a gas furnace with a heat pump. In 85% of homes, that is false: because a heat pump replaces your existing central AC compressor, NEC Section 220.82(C) only counts the larger of heating or cooling—not both!

Running Power Draw:3,200W – 5,500W Nameplate Compressor
Installed Cost Range:$0 Panel Upgrade (Using NEC 220.82(C) Rules)
Battery Spec: 13.5 kWh + Smart Load SheddingThermal & Solar Math →
Hardware Teardown & Battery Pairing+4.0 kW to +5.5 kW DC

Bosch IDS 2.0 (BOVA20) Inverter Heat Pump + Solar & Battery Pairing Review

Unlike proprietary communicating heat pumps that lock you into a $900 vendor wall controller, the Bosch IDS 2.0 regulates its 36-speed inverter compressor autonomously using suction pressure and coil temperature—allowing direct pairing with Ecobee, Nest, SPAN, or any solar battery automation system over standard 24V thermostat wires.

Running Power Draw:750W (25% Modulation) – 4,100W (110% Boost)
Installed Cost Range:$8,800 – $14,500
Battery Spec: 13.5 kWh – 20 kWhThermal & Solar Math →
Hardware Teardown & Battery Pairing+3.8 kW to +5.5 kW DC

Daikin Fit & SkyAir Side-Discharge Inverter Heat Pumps: Low-LRA Solar Optimization

Engineered around Daikin's patented variable-speed Swing Compressor, the ultra-slim Daikin Fit fits in 14-inch side yards right next to solar batteries and smart panels while eliminating refrigerant blow-by losses and compressor startup surges.

Running Power Draw:650W – 3,850W
Installed Cost Range:$9,200 – $15,200
Battery Spec: 13.5 kWh – 20 kWhThermal & Solar Math →
Tax Credits, Rebates & NEC Math+2.5 kW to +4.0 kW DC (50% Less Solar Needed in Winter!)

Geothermal Ground-Source Heat Pumps + Solar: The Uncapped 30% Section 25D Tax Loophole

While air-source heat pumps lose half their efficiency at -10°F and are capped at a $2,000 federal tax credit (Section 25C), geothermal ground-source heat pumps exchange heat with the constant 50°F–55°F earth—maintaining a staggering COP of 4.8 to 5.3 in the dead of winter AND qualifying for the UNCAPPED 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D) alongside solar!

Running Power Draw:600W – 2,900W (Even at -25°F Outdoor Air!)
Installed Cost Range:$28,000 – $48,000 (Before 30% Uncapped Federal ITC)
Battery Spec: 13.5 kWh – 20 kWhThermal & Solar Math →
Cold-Climate Sizing & PhysicsSaves 1.8 kW – 3.0 kW DC of Solar Array Size

Ductless Mini-Split Zoning vs. Central Ducted Heat Pumps: Solar & Battery Efficiency Math

Up to 25%–30% of a central heat pump's thermal energy is lost through leaky, uninsulated attic or crawlspace ductwork before it ever reaches your rooms. Here is the engineering comparison showing how high-SEER2 ductless mini-split zoning slashes solar array sizing and enables 'Sanctuary Room' battery backup.

Running Power Draw:180W – 950W (Single-Zone Bedroom/Office Head)
Installed Cost Range:$4,500 (Single-Zone) – $16,500 (Whole-Home Multi-Zone)
Battery Spec: Runs 30+ Hours on 10kWh Battery in Sanctuary ModeThermal & Solar Math →
Hardware Teardown & Battery Pairing+4.2 kW to +6.0 kW DC

Carrier Infinity 24 / 26 Greenspeed Intelligence Heat Pump + Solar Battery Review

Carrier's flagship Infinity 24 and 26 with Greenspeed Intelligence pairs a variable-speed compressor stepping in 1% increments (between 25% and 100% capacity) with the Infinity System Control—offering built-in kWh energy tracking, quiet 51 dBA operation, and native auxiliary heat lockout for solar battery preservation.

Running Power Draw:620W – 4,200W
Installed Cost Range:$13,500 – $21,000
Battery Spec: 13.5 kWh – 27 kWhThermal & Solar Math →
Thermal Storage & Solar Dump+3.5 kW to +5.5 kW DC

Air-to-Water Hydronic Heat Pumps + Radiant Floor Concrete Slab Solar Thermal Storage

Homeowners with hydronic radiant floors or cast-iron/panel radiators don't need ductwork to ditch oil or propane boilers. Air-to-water monobloc heat pumps heat water to 95°F–130°F and let you pump daytime solar electricity straight into a 20-ton concrete floor slab or 80-gallon buffer tank—storing 40 to 80 kWh of heat with zero lithium battery degradation!

Running Power Draw:800W – 3,600W
Installed Cost Range:$14,000 – $28,000
Battery Spec: Concrete Slab Stores 40–80 kWh of Thermal Energy for Free!Thermal & Solar Math →
Cold-Climate Sizing & Physics+2.5 kW to +3.5 kW DC (Avoids Oversizing for January Peaks!)

Dual-Fuel (Hybrid) Heat Pump + Gas/Propane Furnace: Economic Balance Point Solar Math

In cold northern states or during multi-day winter ice storms when snow covers your solar panels, a Dual-Fuel (Hybrid) Heat Pump system gives you the best of both worlds: running 85% of the heating season on free solar electricity above 25°F–30°F, while falling back to a 420-watt gas/propane furnace during sub-zero blizzards and grid blackouts!

Running Power Draw:2,200W (Heat Pump) vs. 420W (Gas Furnace Blower Only!)
Installed Cost Range:$9,500 – $15,500
Battery Spec: 10 kWh – 13.5 kWh (Runs Gas Furnace for 3+ Days on Battery!)Thermal & Solar Math →
Thermal Storage & Solar DumpSaves 1.5 kW of Solar + Frees Up a 2-Pole 30A 240V Breaker Space!

120V Heat Pump Clothes Dryers (Miele / LG / GE Profile): Free Up a 30A 240V Solar Breaker

A traditional electric clothes dryer pulls 5,400 watts (24A on a 30A 240V breaker) and blows conditioned indoor air straight out a 4-inch hole in your wall. A 120V ventless heat pump clothes dryer plugs into the same 120V 15A outlet as your washing machine, draws just 500 to 850 watts, and frees up a 2-pole 30A 240V breaker and #10 AWG cable for your solar inverter or Level 2 EV charger!

Running Power Draw:350W – 850W on a Standard 120V 15A Outlet!
Installed Cost Range:$1,199 – $2,399
Battery Spec: Uses Only 0.65 kWh per Laundry Load (Safe During Blackouts!)Thermal & Solar Math →
Thermal Storage & Solar Dump+4.5 kW to +6.5 kW DC

Heat Pump Pool Heaters + Solar PV: Daytime Thermal Battery Automation Under NEM 3.0

Heating a 15,000-gallon swimming pool or spa with a 400,000 BTU natural gas or propane heater costs $350 to $800 per month. By running a 120,000 BTU titanium heat pump pool heater strictly between 10:00 AM and 4:00 PM when solar panels are peaking and ambient air is 75°F–85°F (COP 5.8+), your swimming pool becomes a massive 125,000-pound solar thermal battery.

Running Power Draw:4,200W – 5,800W Continuous
Installed Cost Range:$4,800 – $7,500
Battery Spec: Daytime Solar Only (Always Shed on Battery Backup!)Thermal & Solar Math →